The party that wins Greater Accra will win December 7 elections – Ben Ephson

Pollster Ben Ephson says the Greater Accra Region will be key to determining which political party comes out victorious in the upcoming elections.

 According to him, whoever wins Greater Accra Region will carry the day on December 7.

 Mr Ephson, who is also the Managing Director of the Dispatch newspaper, said the importance of Greater Accra is magnified by the fact that it has over 33 percent increase in registered voters between 2016 and 2020, representing some 3.5 million votes.

 Greater Kumasi in the Ashanti Region comes second in terms of population with a little over 3 million people.

Contributing to discussions on 3FM’S ‘Decision 2020’, he said anyone who had won majority in Parliament and the presidential elections will have to win the Greater Accra, Central and Western regions.

He will, however, not predict which of the two leading political parties will win the Greater Accra Region.

 “Greater Accra virtually reflects a sizeable number of people and it reflects the mood and Greater Accra is going to be key. It is so funny and strategic that Greater Accra and to some extent Western and Central vote on the same lines. One of the reasons why the NDC did not do well is that Greater Accra, the second highest ethnic group is the Ewe that is to 17.9 and if the Volta Region is the base of the Ewe population. The NDC lost 100,000 votes in the Volta between 2012 and 2016 so Greater Accra has quite a sizeable number.” Mr Ephson is quoted by ‘3news’ to have said.

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Giving the ethnic diversity of the Region and the top 10 ethnic groupings in Ghana, Mr Ephson said 4 percent of Ghanaians vote on ethnic lines.

“So if you consider the fact that in Greater Accra the ethnic groups are much diversified. We have Gas 18.8%, Ewes 17.9%, Fantes, 10.6%, Damgbes 10.3%, Ashanti’s 8.3%, Akuapims 4.8%”

Others are Kwahus representing 4.6 percent, this is followed by Akyem 4.4 percent, Dagombas 1.3 percent and lastly Nabdam 1 percent.